Nvidia set to report quarterly results after the bell

Nvidia is scheduled to report fiscal fourth-quarter results after the close of regular trading on Wednesday.

Here’s what Wall Street is expecting, according to LSEG consensus estimates:

• EPS: $1.53 adjusted
• Revenue: $66.2 billion

Analysts expect revenue growth of 68% from $39.3 billion a year earlier. That would mark an 11th straight quarter of growth above 55% for the company that’s been the biggest beneficiary of the artificial intelligence boom.

The streak is likely to continue for another period, as analysts project growth of 65% to $72.6 billion in the quarter that ends in April, according to LSEG.

Wall Street got a good preview of what to expect in the coming quarters when the four major hyperscalers — Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft — reported quarterly results a few weeks ago. Based on their forecasts for capital expenditures along with analyst estimates, combined capex for the year could approach $700 billion as the tech giants build out their AI infrastructure.

A big chunk of that goes directly to Nvidia, which dominates the market for AI chips. The company sells its pricey graphics processing units to the biggest tech companies as well as high-valued AI startups OpenAI and Anthropic.

Nvidia, which gained prominence by providing graphics cards used for video games, now gets roughly 90% of its revenue from data center hardware. Its data center business is expected to record growth of 70% to $60.7 billion, according to StreetAccount.

One area of potential concern for investors is the soaring price of memory, which faces a global shortage because of spiking demand. Micron business chief Sumit Sadana told CNBC in January that demand “has far outpaced our ability to supply that memory.”

For Nvidia, memory is a critical component of its AI systems, and analysts will be closely monitoring the company’s gross margin for indications that it’s been able to pass those costs on to customers.

On its last earnings call in November, Nvidia said its gross margin this quarter would come in at around 75%, up from around 73.5% in the third quarter.

Analysts at Cantor expect Nvidia’s margin to come in slightly higher, and wrote in a report last week that “this is clearly a focus area for investors with ongoing rack-scale ramp and rising memory pricing.” The analysts, who recommend buying the stock, said management can minimize the impact through “close and early supply chain collaboration.”

Nvidia executives will update analysts on an earnings call at 5 p.m. ET.

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