ServiceNow shares were rocked this week. Now Bernstein says its the cheapest stock in software
ServiceNow ‘s meltdown this week has opened up an attractive entry point for investors, according to Bernstein. In a Wednesday note, the bank reiterated its outperform rating and called ServiceNow “the ‘cheapest’ large cap software stock,” a title that analyst Peter Weed said he didn’t think he’d ever grant for a business he’d previously labeled as “the next Microsoft .” Weed’s price target of $1,093 is approximately 40% above ServiceNow’s Tuesday close of $781.12. Shares of ServiceNow have slumped 25% this year. The stock has fallen 8% this week alone, after Bloomberg reported over the weekend that ServiceNow is in talks to acquire cybersecurity startup Armis in a potential $7 billion deal. NOW YTD mountain NOW YTD chart “Yesterday we defended the potential Armis M & A that sent the stock down ~11%. Today we are reflecting on how cheap the stock is — ServiceNow’s Price to 3-year-out [free cash flow] vs. growth rate is now below the most bearish AI-narrative impacted large cap application software peers like Adobe . On this same basis, it is even trading below the reputation maligned- Salesforce that ServiceNow bears are comparing it to,” Weed wrote. The analyst added that he doesn’t see organic growth guide downs on the horizon, like in mid-2022. In fact, ServiceNow’s management emphasized accelerating demand in a recent meeting. Meanwhile, Weed also believes that recent “big deals” don’t reflect a lack of restraint on ServiceNow’s part. “While large, recent deals appear ‘normal’ and not signals of tech-disconnected inorganic growth-at-all-costs,” he wrote. For instance, Weed defended the company’s acquisition of Moveworks earlier this year as a move that seems aligned with its overall strategy . Moveworks, alongside Armis, already appear tightly integrated with ServiceNow’s architecture, he wrote. “They seem to require limited technical change beyond UI and branding to be a seamless part of the platform — part of what makes them attractive targets,” the analyst said. “And there is a clear line of sight to sell them at scale to ServiceNow’s broad customer base, driving rapid growth in their revenue.”
